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Tropical Depression Twenty-two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2020-09-18 00:59:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2300 UTC THU SEP 17 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 172259 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 2300 UTC THU SEP 17 2020 AT 2300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 2(14) 1(15) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 13(26) 5(31) 2(33) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 24(40) 6(46) 3(49) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 3(24) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 6(25) 4(29) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 2(15) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 24(31) 10(41) 4(45) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 2(15) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 3(13) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 8(27) 4(31) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 9(27) 5(32) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 3(16) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 4(15) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) 12(39) 6(45) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 6(16) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 6(17) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 13(22) 8(30) 6(36) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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