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Tropical Storm ARTHUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2014-07-05 10:44:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 050844 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 8( 8) 30(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 1 27(28) 33(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) PTX BASQUES 50 X 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) EDDY POINT NS 34 17 42(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) EDDY POINT NS 50 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SYDNEY NS 34 4 45(49) 3(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) SYDNEY NS 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HALIFAX NS 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) HALIFAX NS 50 39 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) HALIFAX NS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) YARMOUTH NS 50 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) YARMOUTH NS 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MONCTON NB 34 82 4(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) MONCTON NB 50 17 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MONCTON NB 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ST JOHN NB 50 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST JOHN NB 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EASTPORT ME 34 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BAR HARBOR ME 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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