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Tropical Storm Arthur Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-05-17 22:31:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 172031 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012020 2100 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 7 38(45) 2(47) X(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 12 14(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 9(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BALD HEAD ISL 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) X(20) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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