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Tropical Storm BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2014-08-05 22:43:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 052043 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 2100 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 10(27) X(27) X(27) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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