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Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 2
2024-06-29 04:40:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 290240 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 43.6W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 43.6W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 42.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 9.7N 46.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.4N 49.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.0N 53.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.7N 56.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.6N 63.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.8N 77.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.3N 43.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-29 01:34:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 282333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Two, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this low is not anticipated before it moves inland over the Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday. The system is then forecast to move west-northwestward, emerging over the Bay of Campeche Saturday night or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-29 01:30:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 282330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jun 28 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics