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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2018-06-13 16:57:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 131456 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 4( 5) 22(27) 13(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 18(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) X(23) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 1(22) X(22) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 25 8(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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