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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2018-06-14 04:09:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0300 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 33(38) 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 27(31) 15(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 X 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI NNNN

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