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Tropical Storm Bud Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2018-06-14 16:53:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 141453 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC THU JUN 14 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 76 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 66 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) SAN JOSE CABO 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 11 27(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) LA PAZ 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 5( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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