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Tropical Storm CARLOS Forecast Advisory Number 8
2015-06-12 16:39:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 121438 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36-48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.7W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.7W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.7W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.8N 100.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.9N 100.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.4N 101.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.9N 102.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 104.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.7N 106.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 100.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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