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Tropical Storm CRISTINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2014-06-10 18:30:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 10 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 101630 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 1500 UTC TUE JUN 10 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 30(34) 9(43) X(43) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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