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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2014-08-24 16:50:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 000 FONT14 KNHC 241449 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 5(22) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 1(17) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 6(17) 3(20) 1(21) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ANDROS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 1(14) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 15 21(36) 8(44) 4(48) 2(50) 2(52) X(52) SAN SALVADOR 50 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 7 6(13) 4(17) 3(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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