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Tropical Storm Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2018-07-10 10:47:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 10 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 100847 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 0900 UTC TUE JUL 10 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 36(55) X(55) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) X(20) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 8(57) X(57) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 47(47) X(47) X(47) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 59(61) X(61) X(61) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) X(30) X(30) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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