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Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2020-06-06 10:37:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 060837 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0900 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 13(17) 8(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 12(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) GULFPORT MS 34 X 3( 3) 25(28) 17(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) STENNIS MS 34 X 3( 3) 32(35) 21(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 1 15(16) 46(62) 8(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 890W 34 24 49(73) 11(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 5( 5) 42(47) 16(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 910W 34 16 53(69) 11(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 28(50) 3(53) X(53) X(53) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 5( 5) 34(39) 16(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 23(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 21(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 9(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) CAMERON LA 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 8(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GALVESTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 7( 7) 13(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) KEESLER AB 34 X 10(10) 28(38) 10(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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