je.st
news
Tropical Storm DORIAN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2013-07-26 10:32:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 26 2013 000 FONT14 KNHC 260831 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 0900 UTC FRI JUL 26 2013 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 3 6 8 9 8 11 TROP DEPRESSION 5 22 24 26 26 23 27 TROPICAL STORM 92 71 64 58 57 58 52 HURRICANE 4 4 6 8 8 11 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 3 4 5 7 7 10 9 HUR CAT 2 1 X 1 1 1 1 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 45KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
speed
wind
storm
Category:Transportation and Logistics