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Tropical Storm EMILY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-07-31 13:40:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 311140 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM EMILY SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 1200 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) THE VILLAGES 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ORLANDO FL 34 11 15(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 21(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PATRICK AFB 34 4 21(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 15(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) W PALM BEACH 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MIAMI FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 34 17 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) VENICE FL 34 41 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) TAMPA FL 34 30 4(34) X(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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