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Tropical Storm Erick Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-07-28 10:32:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 280831 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 0900 UTC SUN JUL 28 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 130W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 135W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 135W 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 4(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 48(82) X(82) X(82) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 42(48) X(48) X(48) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) X(29) X(29) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 29(66) X(66) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 21(32) 1(33) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15(32) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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