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Tropical Storm Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35

2020-11-09 03:54:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 090254 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 0300 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 12(24) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 11(19) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 13(27) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 12(22) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) 12(29) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 12(24) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) THE VILLAGES 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 8(12) 10(22) 11(33) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ORLANDO FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 6(13) 7(20) 11(31) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) COCOA BEACH FL 34 22 2(24) 1(25) X(25) 7(32) 5(37) 6(43) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PATRICK AFB 34 22 2(24) 1(25) X(25) 7(32) 5(37) 6(43) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FT PIERCE FL 34 57 X(57) 1(58) X(58) 4(62) 2(64) 2(66) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) MARATHON FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 50 79 1(80) X(80) X(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) KEY WEST FL 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NAPLES FL 34 97 X(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) NAPLES FL 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT MYERS FL 34 95 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) FT MYERS FL 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) VENICE FL 34 64 2(66) 1(67) 2(69) 7(76) 2(78) 2(80) VENICE FL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 2(14) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) TAMPA FL 34 31 2(33) 2(35) 3(38) 14(52) 7(59) 6(65) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 4(14) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 8 2(10) 1(11) 2(13) 15(28) 12(40) 7(47) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 7(19) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 8(22) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 13(16) 10(26) 5(31) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 3(11) 17(28) 11(39) 5(44) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) 5(23) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 3(21) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) COZUMEL MX 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANDROS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 7( 8) 23(31) 18(49) 2(51) 1(52) X(52) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 11 13(24) 9(33) 10(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47) HAVANA 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 2( 4) 6(10) 7(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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