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Tropical Storm Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41

2020-11-10 15:53:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 101453 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1500 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KEY WEST FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) 1(11) NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 5(17) 1(18) 1(19) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 1(15) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 5(18) 3(21) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 11(19) 4(23) 2(25) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 4(19) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 4(21) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) HAVANA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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