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Tropical Storm Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2021-08-15 22:35:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 152035 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TAMPA FL 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CEDAR KEY FL 34 8 10(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 18(18) 12(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 1 18(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) APALACHICOLA 34 17 47(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) APALACHICOLA 50 X 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) APALACHICOLA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 38 32(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 11 55(66) 7(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 15(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 30(30) 17(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 11(11) 15(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 10(10) 13(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GFMX 290N 870W 34 13 33(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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