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Tropical Storm Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2021-08-16 04:44:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 160243 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 0300 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 1 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ST MARKS FL 34 1 12(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) APALACHICOLA 34 35 29(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) APALACHICOLA 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 62 8(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) GFMX 290N 850W 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 27 53(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) PANAMA CITY FL 50 1 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 3 38(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 290N 870W 34 23 11(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) GFMX 290N 870W 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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