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Tropical Storm GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-10-12 19:45:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1730 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 121745 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1730 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014 AT 1730Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 16(25) 6(31) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) 4(30) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 9(25) 2(27) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PONCE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 38(45) 16(61) 4(65) X(65) PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) X(25) 1(26) PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) SAN JUAN 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 50(61) 17(78) 2(80) X(80) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 15(37) 1(38) X(38) SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 1(15) X(15) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 43(74) 6(80) X(80) X(80) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) 45(47) 31(78) 2(80) X(80) 1(81) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 28(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 7( 7) 45(52) 4(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 27(27) 45(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X 1( 1) 22(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 34 1 32(33) 14(47) 2(49) X(49) 1(50) X(50) BARBUDA 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 34 1 51(52) 14(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) ANTIGUA 50 X 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ANTIGUA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 1 55(56) 5(61) X(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) GUADELOUPE 50 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GUADELOUPE 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 2(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) AVES 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) DOMINICA 34 X 11(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MARTINIQUE 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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