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Tropical Storm GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2014-10-13 04:35:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 130235 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 9(26) 1(27) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 1(19) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) 2(15) X(15) PONCE 34 X 5( 5) 26(31) 10(41) 3(44) 1(45) X(45) PONCE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN JUAN 34 1 8( 9) 48(57) 9(66) 3(69) X(69) 1(70) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) 18(18) 9(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT THOMAS 34 2 39(41) 43(84) 2(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) SAINT THOMAS 50 X 5( 5) 40(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT CROIX 34 2 47(49) 26(75) 2(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) SAINT CROIX 50 X 9( 9) 21(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SAINT CROIX 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT MAARTEN 34 23 58(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) SAINT MAARTEN 50 1 23(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 65 28(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 5 30(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBUDA 34 78 7(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) BARBUDA 50 9 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BARBUDA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANTIGUA 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ANTIGUA 50 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) ANTIGUA 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 84 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) GUADELOUPE 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AVES 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) DOMINICA 34 7 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MARTINIQUE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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