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Tropical Storm GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2014-10-13 10:55:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 130855 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 1(19) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) PONCE 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) SAN JUAN 34 1 8( 9) 15(24) 3(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) SAN JUAN 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 2 44(46) 10(56) 2(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) SAINT THOMAS 50 X 13(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAINT THOMAS 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 2 24(26) 6(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) SAINT CROIX 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT MAARTEN 34 60 34(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) SAINT MAARTEN 50 6 49(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 76 9(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 27 8(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BARBUDA 50 39 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BARBUDA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANTIGUA 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) ANTIGUA 50 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ANTIGUA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) AVES 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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