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Tropical Storm GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2014-10-13 16:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 131451 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 35(40) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PONCE 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JUAN 34 2 16(18) 7(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) SAN JUAN 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT THOMAS 34 6 49(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) SAINT THOMAS 50 1 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SAINT THOMAS 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 6 18(24) 3(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) SAINT CROIX 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 50 77 3(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SAINT MAARTEN 64 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARBUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBUDA 50 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANTIGUA 50 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GUADELOUPE 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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