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Tropical Storm HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2016-09-02 10:42:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 020842 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 4(16) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 4(17) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) 5(24) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 4(24) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 5(23) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 8(24) 5(29) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 9(28) 5(33) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 9(26) 4(30) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 8(27) 4(31) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 10(27) 4(31) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 8(23) 5(28) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 8(28) 5(33) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 4(22) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 9(32) 4(36) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 8(32) 4(36) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 8(30) 3(33) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 8(27) 4(31) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 8(27) 3(30) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 7(26) 3(29) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 7(31) 3(34) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 5(19) 3(22) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 7(26) 3(29) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 15(27) 7(34) 3(37) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 5(17) 2(19) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 7(29) 2(31) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) 1(20) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 5(16) 1(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 13(27) 7(34) 2(36) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 13(30) 6(36) 2(38) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 5(22) 2(24) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 11(28) 5(33) 2(35) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 1(17) DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 6(22) 4(26) 2(28) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) 7(25) 4(29) 2(31) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 7(27) 4(31) 1(32) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 6(27) 5(32) 3(35) 2(37) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) X(10) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 3(17) 1(18) 1(19) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 8( 8) 37(45) 4(49) 3(52) 1(53) 1(54) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 27(27) 20(47) 1(48) 2(50) X(50) 1(51) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 23(23) 25(48) 1(49) 2(51) 1(52) 1(53) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 28(28) 21(49) 1(50) 1(51) 2(53) 1(54) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SURF CITY NC 34 X 45(45) 5(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) 1(52) SURF CITY NC 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SURF CITY NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 1 48(49) 2(51) X(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 51(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 1(55) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FLORENCE SC 34 3 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 1(34) X(34) FLORENCE SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) LITTLE RIVER 34 2 55(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 57(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 1(61) X(61) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GEORGETOWN SC 34 6 60(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 31 43(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) CHARLESTON SC 50 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 74 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 13 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA GA 34 10 X(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAVANNAH GA 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SAVANNAH GA 50 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAVANNAH GA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KINGS BAY GA 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) KINGS BAY GA 50 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 50 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) WAYCROSS GA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) MAYPORT NS FL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) JACKSONVILLE 50 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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