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Tropical Storm Hilary Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2017-07-24 04:47:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 24 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 240247 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0300 UTC MON JUL 24 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 51 41(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 15N 105W 50 1 40(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 15N 105W 64 X 18(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 48(62) 7(69) X(69) X(69) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 2(16) X(16) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 35(46) 2(48) X(48) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 30(74) 2(76) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 30(43) 2(45) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 1(26) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 12(31) 2(33) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 29(44) 4(48) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 2(19) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 29(44) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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