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Tropical Storm Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2019-09-15 10:55:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 150855 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 5(14) 1(15) X(15) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 5( 8) 4(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) W PALM BEACH 34 3 3( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 75(77) 5(82) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48(48) 6(54) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 4(30) GRAND BAHAMA 34 4 6(10) 4(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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