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Tropical Storm Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2018-08-06 10:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2018 455 FOPZ11 KNHC 060858 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112018 0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 32(32) 12(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X 57(57) 5(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) MANZANILLO 50 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MANZANILLO 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 6 19(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ZIHUATANEJO 34 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 21(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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