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Tropical Storm Ivo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2019-08-22 04:35:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019 610 FOPZ15 KNHC 220235 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102019 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 1 59(60) 20(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ISLA CLARION 50 X 18(18) 20(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) ISLA CLARION 64 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 15N 115W 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 115W 34 1 5( 6) 36(42) 10(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) 20N 115W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 11(21) X(21) X(21) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) 1(34) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) 25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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