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Tropical Storm JAVIER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2016-08-07 22:46:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 072046 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 2100 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 6(19) X(19) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 31(32) 33(65) 7(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 26(27) 29(56) 7(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 1 6( 7) 18(25) 22(47) 6(53) X(53) X(53) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 14(23) 3(26) X(26) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) MAZATLAN 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN BLAS 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P VALLARTA 34 7 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLAS MARIAS 34 25 3(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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