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Tropical Storm JULIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2016-09-14 10:46:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 000 FONT11 KNHC 140846 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FLORENCE SC 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 9 4(13) 1(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) AUGUSTA GA 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAVANNAH GA 34 22 4(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) KINGS BAY GA 34 10 2(12) 1(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) WAYCROSS GA 34 11 4(15) 1(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MAYPORT NS FL 34 5 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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