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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 13
2016-09-17 16:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 171448 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1500 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 39.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 45SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 39.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 38.5W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.1N 40.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.8N 43.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.8N 46.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.3N 48.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.2N 54.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 22.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 25.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 39.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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