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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 15
2016-09-18 04:30:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 180230 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0300 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 41.3W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 41.3W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 40.7W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.9N 43.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.1N 46.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.6N 48.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.4N 51.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.2N 56.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 23.7N 61.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.8N 65.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 41.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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