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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220857 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO. THE TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO * GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR OTHER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 60.2W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 60.2W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N 61.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.4N 63.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.7N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.1N 65.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.9N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 23.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.6N 65.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 60.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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