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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Advisory Number 14
2019-09-25 16:50:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 663 WTNT22 KNHC 251450 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 64.9W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 64.9W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 65.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N 64.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N 63.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.9N 62.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.8N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 26.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 64.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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