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Tropical Storm Karen Forecast Advisory Number 15
2019-09-25 22:35:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 252035 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 64.5W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.6N 63.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.6N 61.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.9N 60.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 26.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 64.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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