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Tropical Storm Kirk Public Advisory Number 8
2024-10-01 17:09:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 393 WTNT32 KNHC 011451 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kirk Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 ...NEARBY BUOY FINDS A STRONGER KIRK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 39.2W ABOUT 1010 MI...1630 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 39.2 West. Kirk is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn more northwestward over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated and Kirk should become a hurricane by tonight, and a major hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. A PIRATA Buoy (13008) earlier this morning measured a sustained wind of 40 mph (64 km/h), and a gust to 51 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). A PIRATA Buoy 13008 earlier reported a minimum pressure of 990.2 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Kirk Graphics
2024-10-01 16:55:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 14:55:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 14:55:34 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 13:51:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure has formed a few hundred miles south of Acapulco with disorganized thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within a few days. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (EP96): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have changed little in organization during the past several hours. Although the system does not yet appear to have a well-defined surface circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two. This system is forecast to meander near southern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along portions of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics