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Tropical Storm Kristy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2018-08-07 22:32:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 665 FOPZ13 KNHC 072032 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132018 2100 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 130W 34 1 40(41) 32(73) 8(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83) 15N 130W 50 X 10(10) 27(37) 5(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45) 15N 130W 64 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 28(36) 12(48) 2(50) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 25N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 30N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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