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Tropical Storm LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2016-08-25 16:32:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 25 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 251431 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016 1500 UTC THU AUG 25 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 4 58(62) 9(71) 1(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) ISLA CLARION 50 X 18(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ISLA CLARION 64 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 115W 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 115W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 3(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 14(21) 1(22) X(22) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 26(40) 1(41) X(41) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 1(23) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 26(40) 2(42) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 19(35) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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