je.st
news
Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Discussion Number 3
2024-11-02 09:42:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Nov 02 2024 115 WTPZ43 KNHC 020842 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Lane Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 200 AM PDT Sat Nov 02 2024 Satellite images indicate the center of the small tropical cyclone is likely embedded underneath a cold dense overcast. The deep convection has been quite persistent tonight, and as a result the objective satellite intensity estimates have increased to around 40 kt, while the subjective Dvorak classifications from SAB and TAFB range from 30-35 kt. Based on a blend of these data, the system is upgraded to Tropical Storm Lane, with an initial intensity of 35 kt. Lane is moving westward at 270/6 kt, and this general motion should continue over the next few days as the storm moves along the southern extent of a subtropical ridge to its north. There was a slight southward shift in the guidance envelope this cycle, and the updated NHC track prediction was nudged in that direction. Warm sea-surface temperatures and low shear conditions could allow Lane to strengthen a little more today. However, southwesterly shear is expected to increase over the storm on Sunday, which should then induce weakening of the small tropical cyclone through early next week. Lane is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low in 48 h due to the negative effects of shear and drier environmental air, and it could dissipate even sooner than forecast if the GFS solution is correct. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0900Z 11.1N 129.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 02/1800Z 11.0N 130.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 03/0600Z 11.0N 131.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 03/1800Z 11.1N 133.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 04/0600Z 11.2N 134.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 04/1800Z 11.2N 136.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/0600Z 11.3N 137.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Summary for Tropical Storm Lane (EP3/EP132024)
2024-11-02 09:40:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LANE... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Nov 2 the center of Lane was located near 11.1, -129.5 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Lane Public Advisory Number 3
2024-11-02 09:40:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Nov 02 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 020840 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lane Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 200 AM PDT Sat Nov 02 2024 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.1N 129.5W ABOUT 1525 MI...2455 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lane was located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 129.5 West. Lane is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Small intensity fluctuations are possible today, but weakening is forecast on Sunday through early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics