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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 38
2024-10-11 22:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 608 WTNT23 KNHC 112032 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 49.4W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 49.4W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 50.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 47.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.5N 42.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 36.0N 36.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 80SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.2N 30.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 80SE 80SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 36.7N 25.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N 21.1W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 49.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-11 19:42:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
689 ABPZ20 KNHC 111742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 11 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-11 19:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Near the Cabo Verde Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an area of low pressure passing through the western portions of the Cabo Verde Islands. Earlier satellite data and recent surface observations indicate that the system has winds up to about 40 mph, with higher gusts, but the circulation is elongated. Some additional development is possible, and a short-lived tropical storm could form while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the Cabo Verde Islands. On Saturday, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive, and further development appears unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, winds to tropical storm force and areas of heavy rain are likely to continue over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics