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Tropical Storm Lorena Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2019-09-20 10:42:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 200842 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 0900 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 37 43(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 11 29(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 3 13(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAN JOSE CABO 34 16 28(44) 2(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) SAN JOSE CABO 50 10 14(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LA PAZ 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 19(33) X(33) X(33) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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