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Tropical Storm MADELINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2016-08-27 04:49:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 270249 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142016 0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 6 56(62) 8(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 15N 140W 50 X 18(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 15N 140W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13) X(13) 1(14) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 10(19) 1(20) 1(21) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) 9(52) X(52) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 10(47) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 15(42) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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