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Tropical Storm Miriam Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2018-08-27 04:43:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 27 2018 873 FOPZ15 KNHC 270242 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152018 0300 UTC MON AUG 27 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 130W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 26 13(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 15N 130W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 135W 34 X 3( 3) 43(46) 29(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 25(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 57(62) 18(80) 1(81) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 19(48) 2(50) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 14(29) 1(30) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 25(41) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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