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Tropical Storm NORA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2015-10-10 10:43:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 100843 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182015 0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 9(19) 5(24) X(24) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 24(41) 12(53) 2(55) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 8(20) 1(21) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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