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Tropical Storm Nana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2020-09-02 04:36:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 020236 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM NANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162020 0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MERIDA MX 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COZUMEL MX 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BELIZE CITY 34 1 23(24) 53(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) BELIZE CITY 50 X 3( 3) 31(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUANAJA 34 2 61(63) 4(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) GUANAJA 50 X 31(31) 4(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) GUANAJA 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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