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Tropical Storm Nicholas Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2021-09-14 16:52:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 141452 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 1500 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) LAKE CHARLES 34 7 7(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) LAKE CHARLES 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 8 6(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JASPER TX 34 9 4(13) 2(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) JASPER TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KOUNTZE TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUSTON TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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