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Tropical Storm Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2021-10-12 04:37:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 120237 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 0300 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 10(11) 10(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 8( 9) 15(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 26(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 24(25) 42(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X 5( 5) 81(86) 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 46(46) 19(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 21(21) 14(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 35 29(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 20N 110W 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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