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Tropical Storm Peter Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-09-19 16:55:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 191455 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162021 1500 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 56.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 56.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 55.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.3N 58.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.2N 60.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.2N 63.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.3N 64.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.5N 66.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.8N 67.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 25.5N 67.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 27.2N 66.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 56.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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