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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2018-09-29 17:28:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 302 FOPZ11 KNHC 291528 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1530 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 AT 1530Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20) CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 1(19) X(19) 10N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 13(27) 1(28) X(28) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) 10N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 10N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 33(57) 4(61) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 3(31) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 19(41) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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